Vitória Guimarães vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
18.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1990 |
UNM
0 - 0
VIT
41%
30%
29%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1990 |
VIT
0 - 0
EST
59%
24%
17%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1990 |
BEL
1 - 0
VIT
51%
27%
22%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1990 |
VIT
0 - 1
BOA
49%
27%
24%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1990 |
SAL
0 - 0
VIT
35%
29%
36%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1990 |
NAC
2 - 1
GFC
54%
25%
21%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1990 |
BMA
1 - 0
NAC
45%
29%
27%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1990 |
NAC
0 - 0
MAR
58%
25%
17%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1990 |
SLB
3 - 0
NAC
80%
13%
7%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 1990 |
NAC
0 - 2
SCP
22%
23%
55%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |