Vitória Guimarães vs Moreirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
18.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
BEL
1 - 1
VIT
28%
27%
44%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
VIT
0 - 2
FCP
28%
26%
46%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2017 |
PAÇ
2 - 0
VIT
43%
26%
31%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
VIT
0 - 0
MAR
56%
24%
21%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
SPB
1 - 2
VIT
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Moreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
MOR
1 - 1
EST
36%
28%
36%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
MOR
2 - 3
SCP
20%
23%
57%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 0
MOR
52%
25%
24%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2017 |
MOR
1 - 1
FEI
55%
25%
20%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
SPB
0 - 1
MOR
67%
19%
14%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | +1 |