Vitória Guimarães vs Moreirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
25.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
SLB
1 - 0
VIT
73%
16%
10%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
VIT
1 - 1
EST
39%
28%
33%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
MAR
3 - 0
VIT
37%
25%
38%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -2 |
| 11 Apr. 2016 |
RIO
2 - 0
VIT
34%
27%
39%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
VIT
1 - 1
BOA
63%
23%
14%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Moreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
MOR
1 - 1
BOA
51%
27%
23%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
NAC
0 - 1
MOR
61%
22%
18%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +2 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
MOR
0 - 1
SCP
19%
22%
59%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
SPB
1 - 1
MOR
72%
18%
10%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
MOR
0 - 1
RIO
39%
27%
34%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |