Vitória Guimarães vs Moreirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
12.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2002 |
GFC
0 - 2
VIT
47%
25%
27%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2002 |
VIT
3 - 1
BOA
36%
26%
38%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
VIT
4 - 0
ALV
60%
21%
19%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
BEL
1 - 0
VIT
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2002 |
VIT
1 - 3
SCP
22%
23%
55%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Moreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
MOR
1 - 0
ACA
49%
24%
28%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2002 |
GFC
2 - 1
MOR
60%
22%
18%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
MOR
2 - 1
BEN
85%
11%
5%
|
64 | 21 | 43 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2002 |
MOR
0 - 1
FCP
22%
25%
54%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2002 |
BOA
0 - 0
MOR
72%
19%
10%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | +1 |