Vitória Guimarães vs Lusitano VRSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82%
Win probability
3.36
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.9%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.9%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.9%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
10.8%
7.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1949 |
VIT
3 - 1
OLH
56%
20%
24%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1949 |
OEL
3 - 2
VIT
61%
18%
21%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 1949 |
VIT
3 - 0
ACA
67%
16%
17%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
SLB
4 - 0
VIT
85%
9%
6%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
VIT
3 - 3
BEL
29%
23%
48%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1949 |
LUS
2 - 1
OEL
38%
24%
38%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1949 |
ACA
2 - 0
LUS
82%
11%
8%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 1949 |
LUS
2 - 3
SLB
6%
12%
82%
|
55 | 88 | 33 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
BEL
3 - 1
LUS
92%
6%
2%
|
56 | 85 | 29 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
LUS
1 - 2
ATL
37%
24%
39%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |