Vitória Guimarães vs Lusitano VRSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.1%
Win probability
3.26
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.2%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.6%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
11.6%
8.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1949 |
VIT
2 - 1
FCP
35%
21%
43%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1949 |
SPC
6 - 2
VIT
53%
21%
26%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -2 |
| 13 Feb. 1949 |
VIT
5 - 0
VST
70%
16%
14%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 1949 |
SLB
5 - 0
VIT
84%
10%
6%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1949 |
VIT
2 - 1
BEL
27%
23%
51%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1949 |
LUS
2 - 0
SPB
39%
24%
37%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1949 |
FCP
3 - 0
LUS
90%
6%
4%
|
56 | 80 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1949 |
LUS
1 - 0
BOA
49%
22%
30%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1949 |
SPC
3 - 0
LUS
67%
17%
16%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 1949 |
LUS
2 - 1
OEL
39%
24%
38%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | +1 |