Vitória Guimarães vs Lusitano VRSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.8%
Win probability
3.27
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.2%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.5%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
11.7%
8.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1948 |
OLH
5 - 0
VIT
64%
17%
19%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1948 |
VIT
0 - 3
FCP
31%
20%
48%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 1948 |
BOA
2 - 2
VIT
60%
19%
22%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1948 |
VIT
3 - 1
VST
61%
19%
20%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 1947 |
OEL
3 - 0
VIT
64%
18%
19%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1948 |
FCP
3 - 0
LUS
93%
5%
2%
|
57 | 80 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1948 |
LUS
2 - 1
VST
44%
22%
34%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 1948 |
ACA
2 - 1
LUS
78%
12%
10%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1948 |
LUS
2 - 7
SLB
6%
11%
83%
|
57 | 88 | 31 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 1947 |
BEL
5 - 0
LUS
93%
5%
2%
|
57 | 86 | 29 | 0 |