Vitória Guimarães vs Lusitano GC Évora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.3%
5.7%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1966 |
SPB
3 - 5
VIT
43%
24%
33%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1966 |
VAR
2 - 0
VIT
41%
24%
35%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1966 |
VIT
3 - 2
SLB
27%
22%
52%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 1966 |
FCP
3 - 0
VIT
64%
20%
17%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 1966 |
VIT
0 - 1
LEX
75%
15%
10%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Lusitano GC Évora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1966 |
LGC
2 - 0
VAR
44%
24%
33%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1966 |
FCP
2 - 0
LGC
79%
15%
6%
|
54 | 85 | 31 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1966 |
LGC
1 - 3
FAB
46%
26%
28%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 1966 |
ACA
5 - 0
LGC
80%
13%
7%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1966 |
LGC
1 - 3
BEL
40%
26%
34%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | -1 |