Vitória Guimarães vs Lusitano GC Évora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
13.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1962 |
FCB
1 - 3
VIT
48%
24%
28%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1962 |
VIT
0 - 1
SCP
23%
23%
55%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 1962 |
FCP
2 - 1
VIT
81%
12%
7%
|
67 | 87 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1962 |
FEI
1 - 3
VIT
55%
22%
23%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 1962 |
VIT
1 - 1
LEX
58%
20%
23%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lusitano GC Évora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1962 |
LGC
2 - 1
FEI
63%
20%
18%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1962 |
LEX
1 - 1
LGC
68%
18%
13%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1962 |
LGC
3 - 1
ATL
59%
22%
19%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1962 |
VST
0 - 0
LGC
64%
20%
16%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1962 |
LGC
3 - 1
FAB
47%
25%
28%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +1 |