Vitória Guimarães vs Lusitano GC Évora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
20.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 1959 |
VIT
2 - 0
SPB
61%
19%
21%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1959 |
SPB
4 - 0
VIT
66%
17%
17%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -2 |
| 22 Mar. 1959 |
SPC
3 - 1
VIT
53%
22%
26%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 1959 |
VIT
4 - 5
ACA
63%
19%
18%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1959 |
CAL
1 - 2
VIT
44%
24%
32%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Lusitano GC Évora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 1959 |
FCP
7 - 1
LGC
91%
7%
3%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 1959 |
LGC
0 - 3
FCP
19%
20%
62%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1959 |
MAR
1 - 3
LGC
56%
19%
25%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 1959 |
LGC
3 - 1
MAR
50%
20%
30%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 May. 1959 |
LGC
1 - 1
TOR
75%
14%
11%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |