Vitória Guimarães vs Lusitano GC Évora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
19.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1959 |
VST
1 - 0
VIT
58%
20%
22%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1959 |
VIT
0 - 6
FCP
26%
23%
51%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1959 |
SPB
3 - 1
VIT
54%
21%
25%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 1959 |
VIT
3 - 2
FCB
61%
20%
20%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1959 |
BEL
2 - 0
VIT
73%
15%
12%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Lusitano GC Évora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1959 |
LGC
2 - 1
FAB
69%
17%
14%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1959 |
SCP
3 - 1
LGC
80%
12%
8%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 1959 |
TOR
2 - 0
LGC
47%
25%
28%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 1959 |
LGC
1 - 3
VST
56%
20%
24%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 1959 |
FCP
2 - 0
LGC
82%
11%
7%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | 0 |