Vitória Guimarães vs Lusitano GC Évora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
25.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1955 |
VST
2 - 2
VIT
67%
18%
15%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1954 |
VIT
0 - 0
ATL
43%
24%
33%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1954 |
ACA
3 - 0
VIT
68%
17%
15%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 1954 |
VIT
1 - 1
FCB
46%
24%
30%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1954 |
FCP
1 - 1
VIT
81%
12%
7%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Lusitano GC Évora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1955 |
SPB
4 - 0
LGC
67%
17%
16%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1954 |
LGC
2 - 0
VST
49%
21%
31%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 1954 |
LGC
1 - 2
BEL
31%
24%
45%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1954 |
ATL
3 - 2
LGC
65%
17%
18%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 1954 |
LGC
3 - 0
SPC
55%
21%
24%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |