Vitória Guimarães vs Lusitano GC Évora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
30.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1954 |
SCP
5 - 0
VIT
90%
7%
4%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1954 |
VIT
1 - 2
FCP
34%
23%
43%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1954 |
ACA
1 - 0
VIT
62%
19%
19%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1954 |
VIT
2 - 1
SLB
18%
20%
62%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1954 |
FCB
6 - 3
VIT
59%
21%
20%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Lusitano GC Évora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1954 |
LGC
6 - 2
ORI
66%
19%
16%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1954 |
ATL
3 - 2
LGC
63%
19%
19%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1954 |
LGC
1 - 1
BOA
65%
18%
17%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1954 |
BEL
4 - 0
LGC
78%
13%
10%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1954 |
LGC
4 - 1
VST
55%
21%
24%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |