Vitória Guimarães vs Leixões analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
12%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1968 |
VIT
1 - 3
VST
52%
23%
26%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1968 |
VST
0 - 1
VIT
71%
16%
13%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 May. 1968 |
FCB
1 - 2
VIT
28%
27%
45%
|
70 | 48 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1968 |
VIT
2 - 0
SPB
64%
20%
15%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1968 |
VIT
3 - 2
VAR
70%
18%
12%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Leixões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1968 |
LEX
1 - 1
MAR
50%
21%
29%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1968 |
MAR
1 - 0
LEX
60%
19%
21%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 May. 1968 |
LEX
0 - 2
ACA
24%
26%
49%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1968 |
SAN
2 - 3
LEX
44%
26%
30%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1968 |
LEX
0 - 0
FAB
53%
26%
21%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |