Vitória Guimarães vs Leixões analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
20.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1961 |
SCP
2 - 1
VIT
86%
9%
5%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
VIT
2 - 3
BMA
57%
20%
23%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 1961 |
BEL
1 - 1
VIT
77%
14%
9%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
FAB
1 - 0
VIT
60%
21%
19%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1961 |
VIT
1 - 3
ATL
72%
17%
12%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Leixões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1961 |
LEX
2 - 1
FAB
63%
19%
18%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
ATL
4 - 1
LEX
55%
22%
24%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 1961 |
LEX
0 - 0
FCP
30%
24%
47%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 1961 |
LEX
5 - 0
LAC
73%
14%
13%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
LGC
4 - 0
LEX
49%
24%
28%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -2 |