Vitória Guimarães vs Ginásio de Alcobaça analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.7%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.9%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.5%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
7.5%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1982 |
AMO
1 - 1
VIT
35%
28%
37%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1982 |
VIT
2 - 0
RIO
61%
23%
16%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1982 |
FCP
3 - 1
VIT
78%
15%
8%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1982 |
VIT
2 - 0
MAR
71%
20%
10%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 1982 |
VIT
1 - 1
VAR
66%
22%
12%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Ginásio de Alcobaça
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1982 |
GDA
1 - 1
SLB
8%
18%
74%
|
50 | 88 | 38 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1982 |
EST
3 - 1
GDA
64%
23%
13%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 1982 |
GDA
0 - 1
SAL
30%
28%
42%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 1982 |
VST
3 - 0
GDA
67%
21%
11%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1982 |
GDA
1 - 1
BOA
35%
29%
36%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | 0 |