Vitória Guimarães vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
45.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
NAC
0 - 0
VIT
37%
27%
36%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2003 |
VIT
1 - 2
UDL
50%
24%
25%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2003 |
VIT
1 - 1
SLB
33%
25%
43%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2003 |
BMA
1 - 1
VIT
38%
26%
35%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2002 |
VIT
2 - 0
MAR
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2003 |
FCP
1 - 0
BOA
69%
18%
12%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
BEL
1 - 3
FCP
22%
26%
53%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2003 |
FCP
2 - 1
GFC
79%
15%
7%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2003 |
SCP
0 - 1
FCP
39%
26%
35%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2003 |
FCP
3 - 0
SPB
76%
15%
9%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |