Vitória Guimarães vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
43.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1954 |
ACA
1 - 0
VIT
62%
19%
19%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1954 |
VIT
2 - 1
SLB
18%
20%
62%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1954 |
FCB
6 - 3
VIT
59%
21%
20%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 1954 |
SPC
5 - 1
VIT
56%
22%
23%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 1954 |
VIT
2 - 1
ORI
65%
19%
16%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1954 |
FCP
6 - 1
ORI
90%
6%
4%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1954 |
ATL
3 - 3
FCP
41%
24%
35%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1954 |
FCP
9 - 1
BOA
81%
12%
7%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1954 |
BEL
5 - 2
FCP
57%
21%
22%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1954 |
FCP
9 - 4
VST
76%
14%
11%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |