Vitória Guimarães vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
21.1%
41.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1950 |
SCP
5 - 1
VIT
87%
8%
5%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1950 |
VIT
3 - 1
EST
48%
21%
31%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +2 |
| 23 Apr. 1950 |
LUS
3 - 0
VIT
44%
24%
32%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | -2 |
| 16 Apr. 1950 |
OLH
1 - 1
VIT
69%
16%
15%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1950 |
VIT
3 - 1
OEL
68%
16%
17%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1950 |
FCP
3 - 1
ACA
72%
15%
14%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1950 |
SLB
3 - 2
FCP
78%
12%
10%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1950 |
FCP
2 - 0
BEL
50%
22%
28%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1950 |
ATL
4 - 1
FCP
47%
22%
32%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1950 |
FCP
4 - 0
SPB
81%
11%
8%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |