Vitória Guimarães vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.2%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.7%
53.5%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
5.4%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1946 |
VIT
2 - 5
SLB
18%
21%
61%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1946 |
ATL
2 - 2
VIT
79%
12%
9%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 1946 |
VIT
3 - 2
VST
42%
23%
35%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 1946 |
VIT
2 - 1
ACA
56%
20%
24%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1946 |
OLI
1 - 0
VIT
46%
21%
34%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1946 |
OLI
2 - 4
FCP
13%
16%
72%
|
78 | 55 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1946 |
FCP
3 - 1
BOA
89%
7%
4%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1946 |
BEL
3 - 2
FCP
69%
16%
16%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1946 |
FCP
2 - 3
SCP
39%
20%
41%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1946 |
SLE
3 - 3
FCP
41%
20%
40%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |