Vitória Guimarães vs FC Barreirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
30.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1954 |
FCP
1 - 1
VIT
81%
12%
7%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1954 |
VIT
1 - 2
SCP
16%
19%
65%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 1954 |
SPB
3 - 1
VIT
65%
19%
17%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1954 |
VIT
1 - 3
BEL
39%
24%
37%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1954 |
SPC
2 - 1
VIT
60%
20%
20%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FC Barreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1954 |
FCB
3 - 1
VST
49%
23%
29%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1954 |
ATL
1 - 0
FCB
58%
21%
21%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 1954 |
FCB
2 - 1
ACA
58%
21%
21%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1954 |
FCB
2 - 2
LGC
55%
21%
24%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1954 |
FCP
2 - 0
FCB
78%
13%
9%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | -1 |