Vitória Guimarães vs FC Barreirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.3%
28.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1951 |
SAL
2 - 1
VIT
56%
20%
25%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1951 |
VIT
0 - 0
ACA
58%
18%
24%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1951 |
ACA
3 - 1
VIT
73%
14%
13%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 1951 |
VIT
3 - 1
VST
63%
18%
20%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 1951 |
VST
2 - 1
VIT
61%
19%
20%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
FC Barreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1951 |
FCB
3 - 3
EST
44%
21%
35%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1948 |
BEL
5 - 1
FCB
82%
11%
7%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1948 |
FCB
2 - 0
MAR
45%
21%
34%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 1948 |
FCB
1 - 0
FCP
35%
22%
44%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 1943 |
VST
2 - 0
FCB
47%
22%
32%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |