Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/32
Global 2-1
Vitória Guimarães vs Baník Ostrava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
18.5%
22.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1969 |
VIT
0 - 0
VAR
76%
15%
9%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1969 |
ACA
5 - 0
VIT
66%
18%
16%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 May. 1969 |
VIT
2 - 1
ACA
57%
21%
23%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1969 |
VIT
3 - 2
VAR
78%
13%
9%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | +1 |
| 11 May. 1969 |
VAR
2 - 3
VIT
42%
23%
35%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |