Vitória Guimarães vs Farense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
8.7%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1984 |
SLB
8 - 0
VIT
80%
14%
7%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1983 |
VIT
2 - 0
SPB
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1983 |
RDA
3 - 0
VIT
29%
29%
42%
|
75 | 49 | 26 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 1983 |
VIT
2 - 0
EST
73%
18%
9%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 1983 |
RIO
2 - 0
VIT
48%
26%
25%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1984 |
FAR
3 - 0
ESP
61%
23%
16%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1983 |
SAL
1 - 0
FAR
66%
21%
13%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 1983 |
FAR
0 - 0
BOA
53%
26%
21%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 1983 |
VAR
2 - 0
FAR
57%
26%
17%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 1983 |
FAR
4 - 1
PEN
61%
22%
17%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |