Vitória Guimarães vs Farense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.7%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
8.3%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1976 |
BEL
2 - 0
VIT
57%
22%
21%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1976 |
ACA
1 - 2
VIT
36%
28%
37%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1975 |
VIT
3 - 1
UFT
73%
17%
10%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1975 |
FCP
1 - 1
VIT
65%
19%
16%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1975 |
VIT
4 - 0
VST
44%
27%
29%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1976 |
FAR
1 - 1
EST
55%
23%
23%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1976 |
FAR
3 - 4
ATL
62%
21%
17%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 1975 |
BMA
2 - 0
FAR
52%
26%
22%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 1975 |
FAR
3 - 2
LEX
54%
23%
23%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1975 |
BOA
3 - 0
FAR
76%
16%
8%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |