Vitória Guimarães vs Farense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.5%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
11.4%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1975 |
UFT
3 - 2
VIT
30%
28%
42%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1975 |
VIT
2 - 2
ATL
67%
20%
13%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1975 |
VST
0 - 4
VIT
66%
19%
15%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 1975 |
VIT
0 - 1
SLB
24%
27%
50%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1975 |
VIT
2 - 0
FCP
38%
27%
35%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1975 |
FAR
1 - 6
FCP
33%
28%
40%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1975 |
ACA
2 - 0
FAR
59%
25%
16%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 1975 |
FAR
2 - 1
OLH
74%
17%
10%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1975 |
BEL
1 - 0
FAR
75%
16%
8%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1975 |
FAR
1 - 2
SCP
21%
27%
53%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |