Vitória Guimarães vs Famalicão analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
12.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1979 |
VIT
3 - 0
ACA
71%
19%
10%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1979 |
EST
2 - 0
VIT
38%
28%
34%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1979 |
VST
2 - 0
VIT
49%
26%
26%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1979 |
VIT
1 - 1
SCP
25%
26%
49%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1979 |
BOA
0 - 3
VIT
57%
24%
20%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Famalicão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1979 |
FAM
1 - 2
SCP
20%
22%
58%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1979 |
BOA
3 - 0
FAM
65%
21%
14%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1979 |
FAM
0 - 0
VAR
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1979 |
ACA
0 - 2
FAM
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 1979 |
FAM
1 - 0
MAR
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |