Vitória Guimarães vs Fafe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
9%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1988 |
ESP
1 - 2
VIT
46%
27%
27%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1988 |
VIT
1 - 1
PEN
63%
22%
15%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1988 |
BOA
0 - 1
VIT
54%
25%
20%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1988 |
VIT
1 - 0
SCP
21%
27%
52%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 1988 |
EST
1 - 0
VIT
49%
27%
25%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1988 |
FAF
2 - 1
BMA
35%
30%
35%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1988 |
ESP
1 - 1
FAF
69%
19%
12%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1988 |
FAF
0 - 0
LEX
44%
28%
29%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1988 |
NAC
2 - 0
FAF
71%
18%
11%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1988 |
MAR
3 - 0
FAF
62%
23%
15%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | -1 |