Vitória Guimarães vs Fabril Barreiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
10.6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1976 |
SPB
0 - 0
VIT
30%
29%
42%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1976 |
VIT
3 - 0
FAR
75%
17%
8%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 1976 |
BEL
2 - 0
VIT
57%
22%
21%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 1976 |
ACA
1 - 2
VIT
36%
28%
37%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1975 |
VIT
3 - 1
UFT
73%
17%
10%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1976 |
FAB
0 - 0
EST
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1976 |
ATL
0 - 1
FAB
55%
25%
21%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 1976 |
FAB
1 - 1
BMA
69%
20%
11%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1976 |
FAB
0 - 3
LEX
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 1975 |
BOA
9 - 0
FAB
73%
18%
10%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | -1 |