Vitória Guimarães vs Fabril Barreiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
18.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1962 |
ATL
3 - 3
VIT
64%
20%
16%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1962 |
FCP
3 - 0
VIT
80%
13%
8%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1962 |
VIT
5 - 2
LGC
69%
18%
14%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Dec. 1961 |
SLB
1 - 0
VIT
82%
11%
7%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1961 |
VIT
3 - 0
ACA
65%
20%
16%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1962 |
FAB
2 - 0
BEL
38%
24%
38%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1962 |
ATL
0 - 0
FAB
61%
20%
19%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1962 |
FAB
2 - 1
FCP
24%
23%
53%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | +1 |
| 24 Dec. 1961 |
LGC
0 - 0
FAB
57%
23%
20%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1961 |
FAB
1 - 3
SLB
27%
23%
50%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | -1 |