Vitória Guimarães vs Fabril Barreiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
16.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1954 |
BOA
2 - 2
VIT
63%
19%
18%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1954 |
VIT
2 - 1
SLB
18%
20%
62%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1954 |
LGC
2 - 1
VIT
61%
19%
20%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1954 |
VIT
2 - 3
BOA
62%
19%
20%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 1954 |
BOA
1 - 1
VIT
59%
19%
22%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1954 |
FAB
2 - 1
VST
50%
22%
28%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1954 |
ATL
1 - 0
FAB
71%
16%
13%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1954 |
FAB
1 - 1
ACA
62%
19%
19%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1949 |
SPC
4 - 1
FAB
66%
17%
17%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 1948 |
FAB
0 - 1
BEL
31%
22%
47%
|
61 | 86 | 25 | -1 |