Vitória Guimarães vs Fabril Barreiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
3.22
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
12.9%
10.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1943 |
LEX
2 - 6
VIT
30%
22%
48%
|
72 | 48 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1943 |
VIT
5 - 1
SLB
18%
18%
64%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | +2 |
| 21 Mar. 1943 |
VIT
3 - 1
BEL
21%
19%
60%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1943 |
SCP
4 - 1
VIT
93%
5%
3%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1943 |
VIT
3 - 2
FCP
25%
18%
57%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1943 |
SLB
7 - 1
FAB
92%
5%
3%
|
63 | 85 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1943 |
FAB
4 - 5
OLH
64%
18%
18%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1943 |
FAB
2 - 4
UNI
58%
20%
22%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1943 |
FAB
4 - 2
ACA
50%
21%
29%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1943 |
SCP
5 - 1
FAB
95%
4%
2%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | -1 |