Vitória Guimarães vs CF Estrela Amadora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
16.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
FCP
3 - 1
VIT
69%
20%
10%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2006 |
VIT
1 - 1
BOA
46%
28%
26%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
VIT
3 - 1
PEN
64%
22%
14%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
UDL
1 - 0
VIT
47%
28%
26%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
VIT
0 - 1
SCP
20%
24%
56%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
CF Estrela Amadora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
EST
1 - 0
PEN
55%
25%
20%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
UDL
1 - 1
EST
56%
25%
19%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
EST
0 - 0
SCP
17%
22%
61%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
GFC
1 - 1
EST
57%
24%
19%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
EST
3 - 2
ACA
41%
28%
32%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |