Vitória Guimarães vs CF Estrela Amadora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
11.9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1995 |
VIT
2 - 0
FEL
74%
17%
9%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1995 |
FCB
3 - 0
VIT
82%
13%
6%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1995 |
TIR
2 - 2
VIT
33%
28%
39%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1995 |
VIT
1 - 2
SAL
66%
20%
14%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1995 |
SDL
0 - 0
VIT
61%
21%
18%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
CF Estrela Amadora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1995 |
EST
0 - 0
TIR
58%
25%
17%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1995 |
SAL
0 - 0
EST
58%
24%
18%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1995 |
EST
1 - 1
MAR
38%
28%
34%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 1995 |
UDL
2 - 1
EST
54%
26%
21%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1995 |
EST
0 - 1
SLB
20%
25%
54%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |