Vitória Guimarães vs Estrela Amadora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
14.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1989 |
VST
0 - 0
VIT
48%
27%
26%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1989 |
VIT
1 - 1
NAC
60%
23%
17%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1989 |
CHA
1 - 0
VIT
44%
28%
28%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1989 |
VIT
2 - 0
SPB
65%
21%
14%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1989 |
BMA
1 - 2
VIT
46%
28%
26%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Estrela Amadora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1989 |
EST
0 - 0
ESP
63%
22%
15%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1989 |
PEN
0 - 0
EST
41%
30%
29%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1989 |
EST
1 - 1
BOA
46%
29%
26%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1989 |
ESP
1 - 0
EST
56%
21%
24%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 1989 |
SCP
0 - 1
EST
84%
11%
6%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | +1 |