Vitória Guimarães vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
19.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
SCP
1 - 1
VIT
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2017 |
VIT
2 - 0
CHA
57%
24%
20%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2017 |
VIT
1 - 0
MOR
59%
23%
18%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
BEL
1 - 1
VIT
28%
27%
44%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
VIT
0 - 2
FCP
28%
26%
46%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2017 |
EST
0 - 2
RIO
47%
27%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2017 |
EST
1 - 2
SLB
18%
24%
58%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
EST
0 - 2
SCP
24%
24%
52%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
MOR
1 - 1
EST
36%
28%
36%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
EST
2 - 1
PAÇ
42%
26%
32%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |