Vitória Guimarães vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
21%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2006 |
EST
2 - 0
VIT
39%
29%
32%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2005 |
VIT
0 - 2
FCP
20%
26%
54%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
BOA
1 - 1
VIT
58%
25%
17%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2005 |
VIT
1 - 3
BJK
25%
26%
49%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
PEN
0 - 1
VIT
39%
28%
33%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
AVE
2 - 1
EST
46%
25%
29%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2005 |
EST
2 - 1
FCB
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
GON
2 - 0
EST
33%
26%
41%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
EST
0 - 3
LEX
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
VIZ
2 - 2
EST
33%
25%
42%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |