Vitória Guimarães vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
9%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1983 |
RIO
2 - 0
VIT
48%
26%
25%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1983 |
VIT
3 - 4
VST
66%
21%
13%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 1983 |
POR
0 - 2
VIT
51%
26%
23%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 1983 |
VIT
2 - 1
SCP
34%
28%
38%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 1983 |
FCP
2 - 0
VIT
79%
14%
7%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1983 |
EST
1 - 1
ESP
49%
29%
22%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1983 |
EST
0 - 0
BOA
36%
31%
33%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1983 |
VAR
1 - 0
EST
55%
26%
19%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1983 |
EST
1 - 0
PEN
51%
27%
22%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1983 |
FAR
3 - 1
EST
58%
24%
18%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |