Vitória Guimarães vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
13.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
VIT
5 - 0
VST
55%
25%
21%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1978 |
SCP
3 - 0
VIT
77%
15%
8%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
VIT
3 - 1
BOA
50%
26%
24%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 1978 |
VAR
1 - 0
VIT
45%
26%
29%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1978 |
VIT
2 - 2
BOA
52%
26%
23%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
EST
1 - 1
SCP
19%
26%
56%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1978 |
BOA
1 - 0
EST
68%
20%
12%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
EST
3 - 5
VAR
49%
28%
23%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1978 |
ACA
0 - 0
EST
61%
22%
17%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1978 |
EST
0 - 0
VST
42%
28%
31%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |