Vitória Guimarães vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
13.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1977 |
VST
1 - 0
VIT
58%
23%
20%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1977 |
VIT
2 - 1
SPB
64%
22%
15%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1977 |
ACA
1 - 3
VIT
46%
26%
28%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1977 |
VIT
0 - 1
SLB
28%
26%
47%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1977 |
POR
1 - 2
VIT
39%
27%
34%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1977 |
EST
1 - 2
BEL
40%
28%
32%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1977 |
SCP
4 - 1
EST
79%
14%
7%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1977 |
EST
0 - 0
RIO
40%
28%
32%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1977 |
FEI
1 - 1
EST
32%
27%
41%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1977 |
EST
2 - 0
FCP
23%
28%
49%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | +1 |