Vitória Guimarães vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
28.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1952 |
ATL
4 - 1
VIT
77%
14%
9%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1952 |
VIT
1 - 1
LGC
49%
22%
29%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1952 |
FCB
4 - 0
VIT
68%
18%
14%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1952 |
VIT
0 - 1
FCP
32%
23%
45%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1952 |
SAL
4 - 0
VIT
62%
18%
20%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1952 |
EST
2 - 2
SPC
58%
20%
22%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1952 |
ACA
1 - 2
EST
61%
18%
21%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 1952 |
ATL
4 - 2
EST
63%
18%
19%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1952 |
EST
0 - 1
LGC
61%
19%
21%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 May. 1952 |
SLB
8 - 2
EST
84%
10%
6%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | -1 |