Vitória Guimarães vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
36.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1952 |
SPC
3 - 0
VIT
71%
17%
13%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1952 |
VIT
2 - 4
FCP
33%
23%
44%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 1952 |
BOA
4 - 0
VIT
68%
18%
15%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 1952 |
ACA
0 - 0
VIT
73%
15%
12%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1952 |
SCP
6 - 1
VIT
92%
6%
3%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1952 |
ATL
4 - 1
EST
57%
20%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1952 |
EST
3 - 0
SPC
60%
20%
21%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 1952 |
FCP
4 - 3
EST
71%
15%
14%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1952 |
EST
5 - 1
BOA
62%
19%
19%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 1952 |
ACA
4 - 0
EST
53%
20%
27%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |