Vitória Guimarães vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
28%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1951 |
BEL
3 - 0
VIT
73%
16%
12%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1951 |
VIT
2 - 2
ORI
71%
15%
14%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1951 |
VST
1 - 2
VIT
58%
21%
21%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 1950 |
VIT
1 - 5
SPC
57%
19%
24%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 1950 |
FCP
4 - 1
VIT
72%
16%
12%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1951 |
EST
0 - 1
ACA
69%
16%
15%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1951 |
EST
0 - 2
BEL
47%
22%
31%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 1951 |
ORI
2 - 0
EST
30%
21%
49%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 1950 |
EST
3 - 0
VST
68%
17%
15%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 1950 |
SPC
3 - 0
EST
45%
21%
35%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | -1 |