Vitória Guimarães vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
5%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.9%
31%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1950 |
LUS
3 - 0
VIT
44%
24%
32%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1950 |
OLH
1 - 1
VIT
69%
16%
15%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1950 |
VIT
3 - 1
OEL
68%
16%
17%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 1950 |
ACA
0 - 0
VIT
65%
18%
18%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1950 |
VIT
3 - 5
SLB
25%
21%
54%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1950 |
EST
4 - 3
OEL
78%
12%
10%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1950 |
ACA
1 - 1
EST
46%
20%
33%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1950 |
EST
1 - 2
SLB
29%
21%
50%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1950 |
BEL
2 - 0
EST
65%
17%
18%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1950 |
EST
2 - 1
ATL
67%
17%
16%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |