Vitória Guimarães vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
45.4%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1944 |
SAL
3 - 2
VIT
56%
19%
25%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1944 |
VIT
1 - 4
EST
44%
22%
35%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 May. 1944 |
EST
5 - 0
VIT
67%
16%
16%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1944 |
COI
1 - 7
VIT
71%
15%
14%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | +3 |
| 30 Apr. 1944 |
VIT
1 - 1
COI
44%
22%
34%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1944 |
SLB
2 - 0
EST
91%
6%
3%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1944 |
SLB
8 - 0
EST
85%
9%
6%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1944 |
VIT
1 - 4
EST
44%
22%
35%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1944 |
EST
5 - 0
VIT
67%
16%
16%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1944 |
FCP
1 - 2
EST
78%
12%
10%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |