Vitória Guimarães vs Espinho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
9.3%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1988 |
MAR
2 - 5
VIT
41%
26%
33%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1988 |
RIO
2 - 1
VIT
42%
28%
30%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 1988 |
VIT
2 - 1
PEN
69%
19%
11%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1988 |
SAL
0 - 0
VIT
35%
29%
36%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1988 |
VIT
0 - 0
CHA
63%
22%
15%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Espinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1988 |
FCP
3 - 1
ESP
83%
12%
5%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1988 |
ESP
2 - 1
BEL
44%
28%
28%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1988 |
SLB
5 - 1
ESP
82%
14%
5%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1988 |
ESP
0 - 2
ACA
55%
26%
19%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1988 |
FAR
1 - 1
ESP
54%
28%
19%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |