Vitória Guimarães vs Espinho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
11%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1981 |
VST
3 - 2
VIT
48%
26%
26%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1981 |
VIT
4 - 0
BEL
59%
24%
18%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 1981 |
SCP
2 - 0
VIT
75%
16%
9%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 1981 |
VIT
2 - 1
PEN
60%
23%
17%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 1981 |
VIT
2 - 0
MAR
65%
22%
14%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Espinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1981 |
ESP
0 - 0
MAR
56%
26%
19%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1981 |
ACV
0 - 0
ESP
46%
27%
28%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 1981 |
ESP
0 - 1
FCP
18%
28%
54%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1981 |
ACA
3 - 1
ESP
53%
26%
20%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 1981 |
ESP
4 - 1
AMO
53%
24%
22%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |