Vitória Guimarães vs Espinho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.8%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
7%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1977 |
FCP
4 - 2
VIT
76%
14%
9%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1977 |
VIT
3 - 2
CDM
69%
19%
12%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1977 |
BMA
1 - 0
VIT
38%
26%
36%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1977 |
VIT
2 - 0
LEX
70%
19%
11%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1977 |
POR
2 - 1
VIT
37%
27%
36%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Espinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1975 |
FCP
4 - 0
ESP
84%
12%
5%
|
56 | 84 | 28 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1975 |
ESP
1 - 1
ACA
41%
26%
34%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1975 |
OLH
2 - 1
ESP
60%
22%
19%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1975 |
ESP
1 - 1
BEL
31%
30%
40%
|
56 | 78 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1975 |
SCP
5 - 1
ESP
94%
5%
2%
|
56 | 88 | 32 | 0 |