Vitória Guimarães vs Espinho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
12.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1974 |
BOA
1 - 1
VIT
48%
27%
25%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1974 |
VIT
1 - 4
VST
27%
29%
43%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1974 |
FCB
1 - 1
VIT
43%
28%
29%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1974 |
VIT
3 - 1
OLH
66%
21%
13%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1974 |
ACA
2 - 1
VIT
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Espinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 1942 |
VIT
4 - 1
ESP
73%
15%
13%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1942 |
ESP
4 - 2
CAR
61%
19%
20%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |