Vitória Guimarães vs Desportivo Aves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.9%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
10.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1986 |
ACA
1 - 0
VIT
42%
26%
33%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1986 |
PEN
1 - 1
VIT
33%
31%
36%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1986 |
VIT
0 - 0
SAL
69%
19%
12%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1986 |
SLB
3 - 1
VIT
84%
12%
5%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1986 |
VIT
5 - 0
SPC
71%
18%
11%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Desportivo Aves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1986 |
AVE
1 - 1
MAR
56%
25%
20%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1986 |
FCP
2 - 0
AVE
93%
6%
2%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1986 |
AVE
0 - 0
BOA
44%
27%
29%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1986 |
SCP
1 - 0
AVE
87%
9%
4%
|
60 | 86 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1986 |
AVE
0 - 0
BEL
53%
26%
21%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |